By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Tune of the Day
Wooden Thrush, Lander, MD. C&O canal at Lander, Frederick, Maryland, United States. “Chicken singing away from the parabola.” Appears to be a duet?
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“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
“Two Americas Index: Palms off Social Safety and Medicare” [Axios]. “Practically 9 in 10 Individuals say they oppose lowering spending on Social Safety or Medicare, in response to new polling from our Axios-Ipsos Two Americas Index. The overwhelming consensus (96% of Democrats, 84% of Republicans) explains why any discuss of reducing these applications has change into a political lightning rod, whilst lawmakers on either side of the aisle acknowledge potential considerations concerning long-term solvency.” • Solvency, feh.
Trump not arrested! As of this writing…
“How an Outdated Affidavit May Undercut Trump’s Future Protection within the Stormy Daniels Case” [DNYUZ]. “Among the many challenges, a few of these defenders say, is proving Trump’s intent—a surreal dilemma that has flummoxed authorized analysts for years. ‘Bragg must show that Trump not solely understood the complicated and convoluted marketing campaign legal guidelines that few folks comprehend, however that he meant to violate them,’ Fox Information commentator Greg Jarrett wrote on Monday. However in the case of charging Trump, that perennial concern would possibly truly be the least of Bragg’s considerations. That’s as a result of, again in 2000, Trump submitted a sworn affidavit to the Federal Election Fee demonstrating a fancy understanding of a number of the identical marketing campaign finance legal guidelines that now seem central to Bragg’s case. ‘I neither reimbursed, nor induced another particular person to reimburse, any worker of Trump Accommodations & On line casino Resorts, Inc. or its subsidiaries for his or her contribution to Gormley for Senate,’ Trump[‘s attorneys] wrote on the time. The affidavit, submitted as a part of an FEC investigation right into a Trump-hosted fundraising occasion for a Senate candidate, additionally contained sworn statements that Trump had acted ‘solely in my particular person capability’—not as a company official—and ‘took no motion, of any nature, form or description, to compel or stress any worker’ to make a donation. That case was pretty complicated for a layperson, and it pressured Trump[‘s attorneys] to develop and categorical a complicated understanding of particular federal marketing campaign finance legal guidelines. By the top of the ordeal, Trump would have been [hmm] intimately acquainted with why firms and third events (‘straw donors’) couldn’t contribute—together with in-kind contributions—to candidates for federal workplace.” • Regardless of my bracketed feedback, hmm. A lot of the protection focuses on “hush cash.” However with a view to “make a Federal case out of it,” Bragg must discover a violation of a Federal regulation (hopefully a felony). This he might be able to do, if he can present that Trump knowingly violated Federal marketing campaign finance regulation. Maybe Bragg — and bear in mind, the New York Democrat Occasion institution has so much to show, not simply in courtroom — could make that exhibiting. I’m doubtful. I’m additionally very doubtful that anyone would or ought to go to jail over such a violation, helpful although that might be for Trump, electorally.
“Make No Mistake, the Investigation of Donald Trump and the Stormy Daniels Scheme Is Severe” [Lawrence Tribe, New York Times]. “[Is] the Manhattan legal case is an instance of selective prosecution — in different phrases, going after a political enemy for against the law that nobody else can be charged with? Not by a protracted shot. To start with, Mr. Trump’s former lawyer Michael Cohen, who was instrumental within the scheme, has already pleaded responsible to a federal crime emanating from this conduct and served time for it and different crimes. Federal prosecutors advised the courtroom that Mr. Cohen ‘acted in coordination with and on the path of” Mr. Trump (recognized as ‘Particular person 1’). It might be anathema to the rule of regulation to not prosecute the principal for the crime when a lower-level conspirator has been prosecuted. Mr. Bragg, nonetheless, has needed to decide up the slack, since federal prosecutors haven’t pursued such expenses, for causes that had been clear beneath the corrupt affect of William Barr. As a state prosecutor, Mr. Bragg can’t deliver the identical federal marketing campaign finance cost to which Mr. Cohen pleaded responsible.” So “anethema” applies throughout jurisdictions? Extra: “As a state prosecutor, Mr. Bragg can’t deliver the identical federal marketing campaign finance cost to which Mr. Cohen pleaded responsible. He has numerous choices nonetheless. New York district legal professional places of work have typically charged against the law of submitting a false enterprise document, each as a felony and as a misdemeanor. The crime is a transparent felony whether it is carried out with intent to assist or cowl up one other crime and in any other case is a misdemeanor.” However: “Whereas the analogy to Mr. Trump is imperfect, since paying hush cash is just not itself unlawful, in his case the false ‘authorized price’ information seem to have furthered and lined up New York state tax fraud (the false Cohen tax filings) and the failure to report Trump marketing campaign contributions.” • That’s it? That’s actually it? It’s humorous how every of Tribe’s arguments comes out sturdy… after which Tribe undercuts himself.
“Manhattan DA points scathing response to GOP letter on potential Trump indictment: ‘We won’t be intimidated’” [FOX]. “‘We won’t be intimidated by makes an attempt to undermine the justice course of, nor will we let baseless accusations deter us from pretty making use of the regulation,’ a spokesperson for Bragg’s workplace advised Fox Information Digital. ‘In each prosecution, we comply with the regulation with out concern or favor to uncover the reality. Our expert, trustworthy and [Oxford comma-less] devoted attorneys stay onerous at work,’ the spokesperson added. Home Judiciary Committee Chairman Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, and the opposite prime Republicans on the Administration and Oversight committees on Monday despatched a letter to Bragg demanding that he flip over paperwork associated to his Trump investigation and testify earlier than Congress after stories mentioned Trump might face an indictment this week.”
“Trump in panic mode as he braces for probably expenses in Stormy Daniels case” [Guardian]. The partitions are closing in! “Trump’s submit was nothing greater than guesswork about when Alvin Bragg would possibly deliver expenses, sources near Trump mentioned, after he noticed media reporting that the district legal professional’s workplace had contacted the US Secret Service about safety within the occasion of an indictment…. However the frenzied posts from Trump mirrored his deep panic and nervousness over the imminence and chance of legal expenses, the sources mentioned, not least as a result of he’s powerless to cease the district legal professional’s workplace from transferring ahead with a case that can take the US into new authorized territory as Trump revs up his 2024 marketing campaign for the Republican presidential nomination…. Trump has expressed curiosity in showing in particular person on the Manhattan legal courtroom, the place he believes he can flip proceedings right into a spectacle earlier than a gaggle of reporters, sources mentioned, and raised the prospect on Saturday afternoon as he travelled to Oklahoma for an NCAA wrestling championship.” • That doesn’t sound very panicked to me.
“Trump Sweats an Arrest. We Ought to Sweat a Second Time period.” [Timothy L. O’Brien, Bloomberg]. “He clearly fears being handcuffed, fingerprinted and perp-walked earlier than TV cameras and the media, as anybody would. It’s a legal case, so the specter of winding up behind bars looms.” • I don’t assume that’s clear in any respect. Filed beneath “Opinion.”
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“DeSantis says Florida is ‘blueprint for America’s revival’” [WWJ]. “”The Florida Blueprint is a straightforward components: be prepared to steer, have the braveness of your convictions, ship on your constituents, and reap the political rewards. It is a blueprint for America’s revival. We’ve proven it may be carried out,” DeSantis wrote in his ebook…. “The battles we’ve got fought in Florida — from defeating the biomedical safety state to stifling woke firms to preventing indoctrination in faculties — strike on the coronary heart of what it means to be a Floridian and an American,” DeSantis wrote…. DeSantis even took time to take a shot at Trump, who maintains he will likely be arrested this week, throughout a information convention in Panama Metropolis, Florida. ;I don’t know what goes into paying hush cash to a porn star to safe silence over some kind of alleged affair,’ DeSantis mentioned. ‘I simply, I can’t converse to that.’ Too brief? Extra: “Persevering with his remarks, DeSantis once more highlighted his concentrate on his present place, saying, ‘I’ve bought actual points to take care of right here within the state of Florida.’”
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“Biden zeroing in on candidates to be his 2024 marketing campaign supervisor” [The Hill]. “Jenn Ridder, who served as nationwide states director for Biden’s 2020 bid, is alleged to be a number one contender for the marketing campaign supervisor job, sources inform The Hill. Sam Cornale, the manager director of the Democratic Nationwide Committee (DNC), has additionally been mentioned as a number one candidate, the sources say, including that it’s an ongoing, exhaustive course of and there are different candidates within the combine for that place and different prime roles. One supply acquainted with the choice course of mentioned each Ridder and Cornale are amongst candidates being thought of for senior workers. Different candidates for senior workers embrace: Emma Brown who served as Sen. Mark Kelly’s marketing campaign supervisor final yr, Addisu Demissie who ran Sen. Cory Booker’s 2020 presidential marketing campaign, Quentin Fulks who was Sen. Raphael Warnock’s marketing campaign supervisor, and Julie Chavez Rodriguez, a White Home senior adviser who was deputy marketing campaign supervisor for Biden’s 2020 marketing campaign. The president’s workforce is hoping to get their senior positions stuffed by April, after they’re anticipating to formally launch the marketing campaign.” • How about Michelle Obama?
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“The President We Want for a Submit-Ukraine-Battle World” [David Frum, The Atlantic]. • “Chief.” A toad hops out of Frum’s mouth, and never for the primary time. Additionally, “chief” sounds higher within the authentic German.
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2020 Submit Mortem
There’s the Evening of the Lengthy Knives, proper there:
This Pence profile quotes a “conservative strategist” saying, “Pence is ready much like Biden within the spring of 2019. Biden was not on the prime of the polls [but] he was a identified entity”https://t.co/J1ssHXTMxP
Nope. Biden led in spring 2019 & many of the remainder of the best way pic.twitter.com/ynPu1AkCDN
— Invoice Scher (@billscher) March 19, 2023
And all of the Democrat Occasion authoritarian followers fall in line behind the, er, Chief.
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, it appears that evidently persons are truly studying the back-dated submit! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I must try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Occasion (“the Democrat Occasion is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated submit, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Occasion is, the truth is, a tough downside. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Occasion is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Occasion is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Occasion didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Occasion fails to control, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the potential to control. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Occasion reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Occasion (ka-ching, however not completely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.
Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
“‘The Democratic Occasion in New York Is a Catastrophe’” [Ross Barkan, New York Times]. “As of late, New York is named the deep-blue state the place Democrats misplaced 4 seats on the best way to dropping the Home of Representatives and successfully halting President Biden’s home agenda for the subsequent two years…. These disappointments have solid into sharp aid each the divisions throughout the get together and the peculiar void of the state’s Democratic group itself. Few New Yorkers cared, till late 2022, that the statewide Democratic equipment operated, for probably the most half, as a hollowed-out appendage of the governor, a second marketing campaign account that did little, if any, work by way of messaging and turnout. New Hampshire, a state with roughly half the inhabitants of Queens, has a Democratic Occasion with 16 full-time paid workers members. New York’s has 4, in response to the state chairman, Jay Jacobs. One helps preserve social media accounts that replace solely sparingly. Most state committee members don’t know the place the get together retains its headquarters, or if it even has one. (It does, at 50 Broadway in Manhattan.) Nationwide events operate as monumental umbrella organizations, figuring out the presidential main calendar and the method for allocating delegates on the nationwide conventions. The drudgery of operating elections is left to the native and state events, in addition to particular person campaigns and unbiased political motion committees…. Jacobs described the get together as a “housekeeping group” and a “coordinating entity” that works amongst labor unions, campaigns and different curiosity teams. He cited the upkeep of a voter file that campaigns use to focus on the voters as amongst its most necessary work, in addition to establishing marketing campaign places of work at election time. Fund-raising, too, is an enormous a part of the work, and it’s there the place Jacobs has been particularly helpful.” • Plenty of fascinating nuts and bolts about get together construction.
PLEASE SHARE. We’re right here on the AOC navy recruitment honest. Safety is not letting in dad and mom who’ve registered. They wish to discuss to their children alone. pic.twitter.com/9IMgvzDwEW
— gaijingirl2004 Bronx Leftist/Inexperienced. 🦺 🇵🇸✡️ (@gaijingirl2004) March 20, 2023
Gag me with a spoon.
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Realignment and Legitimacy
“Revisiting America’s Battle of Selection in Iraq” [Richard Haas, Project Syndicate]. Haass is President of the Council on International Relations. “Nonetheless, widespread critiques of the battle get it flawed after they conclude that the US authorities can’t ever be trusted to inform the reality. Sure, the US authorities maintained that Iraq possessed WMDs, and my boss on the time, Secretary of State Colin Powell, made that case earlier than the United Nations. It turned out to not be true. However governments can and do get issues flawed with out mendacity.” • That could be true, however it’s not true on this case. My first summer time of running a blog — I hold retelling this story, I apologize, however for many who got here in late — was dedicated to taking part in whack-a-mole because the Bush administration, aided by a complaisant press, emitted one WMD story after one other, solely to have them debunked, at the very least within the then blogosphere, inside days, typically inside hours. The yellowcake uranium! The aluminum tubes! The cell weapons labs! And picture my shock when [genuflects] Colin Powell held up an already debunked vial of white powder on the UN as proof of WMDs, to justify the battle [slaps forehead]. In fact, we later found that the rationale we felt we had been taking part in whack-a-mole is that we had been; the leaks and tales had been concocted by a factor known as the White Home Iraq Group, stuffed with luminaries like Condi Rice, (Over 50 such tales had been planted, in accordance a now-forgotten exposé of this operation, Fact from These Podia; PDF.) They had been all mendacity then, and Haas is mendacity now.
All of the pro-Iraq Battle liberal Democrats did very nicely for themselves, throughout the battle and after. Here’s a roll of dishonor:
For these too younger to have lived via what occurred twenty years in the past, a thread of self-styled left/liberal varieties endorsing the invasion of Iraq pic.twitter.com/GZIq6MpTQV
— Nicholas Guyatt (@NicholasGuyatt) March 20, 2023
The lone and degree sands stretch distant.
Primarily based Trump:
Donald Trump says Nancy Pelosi ought to have impeached George W. Bush for mendacity about weapons of mass destruction and beginning the Iraq Battle.
“He lied,he bought us into the battle with lies… Bush bought us into this horrible battle by saying they’ve WMD’s” pic.twitter.com/VWSCdKck27
— Richard (@ricwe123) March 21, 2023
Trump is totally proper. Pelosi ought to have impeached Bush when the Democrats took again the Home in 2006. If she had, no Trump.
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“The Actual-Life Penalties of Silicon Valley’s AI Obsession” [Bloomberg]. Extra cudde puddles?
In Silicon Valley, the overlap between rationalists, EAs, and AI security researchers types a deeply influential subculture. Whereas its borders are blurry, its a whole bunch or 1000’s of members are united by a perception that they should work their butts off, or at the very least make investments a lot of cash, to cease AI from going Terminator on us. The motion’s leaders have acquired help from a number of the richest and strongest folks in tech, together with Elon Musk, Peter Thiel and Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin. And its concepts have attracted the same old Valley mixture of true believers and brazen opportunists. Till just lately, its most beneficiant supporter was Bankman-Fried, who invested near $600 million in associated causes earlier than dismissing efficient altruism as a dodge as soon as his enterprise fell aside.
Bankman-Fried’s collapse has solid a harsh mild on the neighborhood’s flaws, however he’s removed from the one alleged unhealthy actor. The mixture of insularity and shared function that makes the subculture so engaging to sensible outsiders additionally makes it a searching floor for con artists, sexual predators and megalomaniacs. Filtering the authentic need to make AI higher and safer via the acquainted lens of Valley messiah complexes dangers tainting the entire mission by affiliation.
The underlying ideology valorizes extremes: searching for rational fact above all else, donating probably the most cash and doing the utmost good for a very powerful motive. This mind-set can lend a gorgeous readability, however it will probably additionally present cowl for harmful or despicable conduct. Eight girls in these areas allege pervasive sexual misconduct, together with abuse and harassment, that they are saying has incessantly been downplayed. Even amongst folks with pure intentions, adherents say, EA and rationalist ideologies can amplify the struggling of individuals susceptible to doomsday pondering—main, for a couple of, to psychotic breaks.
These fissures have international penalties. The neighborhood’s connections and sources give its members outsize affect on the event of AI, the No. 1 object of fascination for at the moment’s tech business and an extremely highly effective instrument price untold billions. The believers try to make AI a pressure for good, however disillusioned members say their neighborhood of kindred spirits is being exploited and abused by individuals who don’t appear to know tips on how to be humane.
“Insularity and shared function” means “bubble” however utilizing seventy five-cent phrases. So does “Valley messiah complexes.” So does “the No. 1 object of fascination.” Didn’t a bunch of those folks simply foment a financial institution run?
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge).
• Readers, thanks for the push. We are actually as much as 47/50 states (94%). I’ve helpfully added “______” to the states nonetheless lacking knowledge. We should always checklist states that don’t have Covid sources, or have stopped updating their websites, so others don’t look fruitlessly. May these of you in states not listed assist out by both with dashboard/wastewater hyperlinks, or ruling your state out definitively? Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (______); NE (______); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (______); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (1), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (6), JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, otisyves, Petal (5), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). (Readers, should you depart your hyperlink in feedback, I credit score you by your deal with. For those who ship it to me through e mail, I exploit your initials (within the absence of a deal with. I’m not placing your deal with subsequent to your contribution as a result of I hope and count on the checklist will likely be lengthy, and I would like it to be simple for readers to scan.)
• Extra like this, please! Whole: 1 6 11 18 20 22 26 27 28 38 39 43 47/50 (94% of US states).
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Search for the Helpers
Small victories are nonetheless victories. Extra like this, please:
Sharing a small victory. Necessary recurring 2+ hr assembly now have to be in particular person. I arrived in my match examined N95. Practically everybody was unmasked. CO2 went as excessive as 1800. Emailed organizers after the assembly to precise my considerations in regards to the poor air flow. Properly acknowledged that 1/
— Noha Aboelata, MD (@NohaAboelataMD) March 21, 2023
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“Introducing: The Covid Underground” [Covid Underground]. The deck: “Welcome to The Covid Underground, a publication for the Covid-free motion and all of those that proceed to keep away from an infection.” Extra: “True well being is the flexibility to vary. About 10-30% of the U.S. inhabitants has modified their lives within the mild of the releasing revelations of 2020, and we hold altering. We’re dynamically, creatively trustworthy to what was— briefly— plain to all: regular is a harmful phantasm.” • Value a learn.
“Covid Meetups” [COVID MEETUPS (JM)]. “A free service to seek out people, households and native companies/companies who take COVID precautions in your space.” • I performed round with it some. It appears to be Fb-driven, sadly, however you should use the Listing with out logging in. I get rational hits from the U.S., however not from London, UK, FWIW.
Discovering like-minded folks on (sorry) Fb:
Thought I might add this right here in case anybody is . Locations to seek out individuals who “Nonetheless Covid” in your space & on-line: https://t.co/T4ND4XbrpF & https://t.co/sP5wq4fAw5 You may also search on FB “Nonetheless Coviding ____” & see if there is a particular group in your space.
— Adriel Rose (@adriel_rose) March 1, 2023
Covid Is Airborne
How the First World does it:
Nevertheless, in Tokyo final week, all taxis have CO2 displays and hepa filters put in. They perceive the significance of fresh air and public well being measures. pic.twitter.com/1ofNx24HMu
— Mark Morrissey (@MB_Morriss) March 19, 2023
So long as masks appear to be medical gadgets, they are going to by no means be a cultural norm:
Black with no brand is the one acceptable masks for a lot of the general public, and but @3M, Drager, and so on can’t get their shit collectively and simply make a 200ff masks that bypasses outdated business habits. Daily they don’t make a textless black masks, extra persons are getting lengthy covid. https://t.co/TRig8PaczW
— Match Check the Planet (@FitTestMyPlanet) January 6, 2023
One other Aura fan:
I exploit rub-on switch stickers to make the 3M aura cuter 💅 pic.twitter.com/RUXU9uoSR2
— ottolini (@ottolinid) March 21, 2023
Folks have the urge to brighten their Corsi-Rosenthal packing containers too. This tendency needs to be inspired.
Australian hospital reverses anti-mask directive inside hours. In fact, within the US, they might have dug of their heels:
2/ As we speak, 13.49 E-mail 2: “Shit, truly, sorry there’s numerous COVID about. Masks keep ON for guests!” pic.twitter.com/o8N9KmiOIV
— Dr David Berger, aBsuRdiSTe cROnickLeR (@YouAreLobbyLud) March 21, 2023
It is a miniature instance of what CDC is making an attempt to do — assuming good religion, troublesome to do at this level — with “Group Ranges.” They wish to flip the masks knob up when unfold is excessive, then flip it again down when its low. Leaving apart the problem of lags when a virus is in doubling conduct mode, that is simply wildly inefficient and, worse, discredits the thought of public well being by making it too troublesome for folks to stick to. Think about if we dealt with cigarettes or seatbelts this manner. Masks-wearing must change into a social norm, as it’s, sensibly and to good impact, in Asia. As I say above, one step towards that purpose is to reclassify masks as fashion-forward outwear, not as medical gadgets (not “regular” by definition).
“A primary-in-human scientific research of an intranasal spray of a cocktail containing two synergetic antibodies neutralizes Omicron BA.4/5” [medRxiv]. Hamsters. ” Right here, we developed an intranasal spray containing two synergetic human NAbs that would broadly neutralize the rising Omicron variants in vitro. A novel synergetic neutralizing mechanism was recognized that the 2 NAbs sure to unique epitopes on the RBD and structurally compensate one another in blocking the Spike-ACE2 interplay. Importantly, when given at low dosages for 3 consecutive days via the intranasal mucosal route, this cocktail confirmed vital enchancment within the emergency preventive and therapeutic results in hamsters challenged with genuine Omicron BA.1.” • Appears to duplicate, and due to this fact validate, the final strategy of Thailand’s nasal spray with human antibodies, CoviTRAPP, already in the marketplace, although not, naturally, in injection-centric First World nations..
“Public well being ethics: critiques of the ‘new regular” [Monash Bioethics Review]. “The moral justification of public well being intervention requires extra than simply the expectation that an intervention will produce a (web) enchancment public well being (over and above the harms of the intervention). Along with well being, two different (units of) values are key to the justification of public well being coverage: equity, e.g., concerning the distribution of advantages and harms of an intervention in a inhabitants, and freedom, e.g., to maneuver and work together with others with out unjustified externally-imposed restrictions (Selgelid 2009).” • Sounds good, till you notice that “freedom” is how a libertarian says “[family blog] you.”
Evolution vs. man-made:
“Why ‘lab leak’ proponents are unconvinced by raccoon canine proof for coronavirus origins” [Yahoo News]. “For supporters of the market [as opposed to lab] origin idea, nonetheless, the analysis described within the Atlantic is probably the most persuasive up to now of a zoonotic, or animal, mannequin to explain how the coronavirus entered the human inhabitants. Practically 7 million folks have died from COVID-19 since late 2019, when the primary instances had been reported. Based on the researchers, swabs taken on the Huanan Seafood Market in Wuhan—lengthy suspected because the pandemic’s epicenter— present proof of genetic materials from raccoon canines (animals that appear to be raccoons however are literally genetically nearer to foxes) blended with markers of SARS-CoV-2, because the coronavirus was initially identified. ‘Now we’ve got particular proof that animals had been there that would carry coronaviruses on the time of the outbreak,’ mentioned Peter Daszak, president of EcoHealth Alliance, a New York-based nonprofit that supported controversial virus analysis in Wuhan earlier than the 2019 outbreak.” • Simply eesh. No one needs to be quoting Daszak, not due to his Wuhan Lab battle per se, however as a result of his EcoHealth NGO was an absolute cesspit dysfunction lengthy earlier than Wuhan. Additionally, “lab origin” vs. “market origin” is wretched framing; it’s not geography that’s at challenge; the query is whether or not evolution, performing via pure choice, might have produced SARS-CoV-2 within the wild, or whether or not SARS-CoV-2’s aesthetic qualities (performance; magnificence) imply the virus might solely have been engineered by a human (the watchmaker speculation. Be aware that there’s additionally a[n], er, variant of evolutionary origin, particularly that “wild” SARS-CoV-2 someway bought free out there — and nowhere else? — because of unhealthy dealing with within the lab). We additionally be aware, because the article doesn’t and may, that the racoon canine “story” was launched to the Atlantic first, earlier than being printed wherever else, not whilst a preprint (which signifies that the scientists behind it, whether or not their science be sound or not, are actually behaving like a faction engaged in hand-to-hand fight with an enemy, a regression not unknown in academia typically).
“Lab Leak or Not? How Politics Formed the Battle Over Covid’s Origin” [New York Times]. “Some Republicans grew fixated on concept of a lab leak after former President Donald J. Trump raised it within the early months of the pandemic regardless of scant proof supporting it. That turned the speculation poisonous for a lot of Democrats, who seen it as an effort by Mr. Trump to distract from his administration’s failings in containing the unfold of the virus. The extraordinary political debate, now in its fourth yr, has at occasions turned scientists into lobbyists, competing for policymakers’ time and favor. Dr. Relman is only one of a number of researchers and like-minded thinkers who has efficiently labored the corridors of energy in Washington to pressure journalists, policymakers and skeptical Democrats to take the lab leak concept significantly. However the political momentum has not all the time aligned with the proof. At the same time as the thought of an unintentional lab leak has now gained standing in Washington, findings reported final week bolstered the market idea. Mining a trove of genetic knowledge taken from swabs on the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan in early 2020, virus consultants mentioned they discovered samples containing genetic materials from each the coronavirus and illegally traded raccoon canines. The discovering, whereas hardly conclusive, pointed to an contaminated animal. The brand new knowledge from the market means that China is holding onto clues that would reshape the talk. However for now, at the very least, the thought of a lab leak appears to have prevailed within the courtroom of public opinion: Two latest polls present that roughly two-thirds of Individuals imagine that Covid in all probability began in a lab.”
“Genetic proof of inclined wildlife in SARS-CoV-2 constructive samples on the Huanan Wholesale Seafood Market, Wuhan: Evaluation and interpretation of information launched by the Chinese language Middle for Illness Management” [Zenodo]. FINALLY, right here is the paper. There’s a lengthy introduction, which is able to probably be controversial, about how they bought the information on which the paper relies. From the Summary: “Utilizing metagenomic sequencing knowledge publicly accessible on GISAID, we offer proof for the co-occurrence of SARS-CoV-2 and the genetic materials of inclined wildlife in environmental samples from the Huanan market throughout the begin of the COVID-19 pandemic. This discovering corroborates stories of putative intermediate animal hosts for SARS-CoV-2 being bought reside out there in late 2019 and provides to the physique of proof figuring out the Huanan market because the spillover location of SARS-CoV-2 and the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic.” • I see how the report “provides to the physique of proof,” however I don’t see how one can “corroborate” something “putative.” Anyhow, price a learn to maintain abreast of the controversy.
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Seems like “leveling off to a excessive plateau” throughout the board. (I nonetheless assume “One thing Terrible” is coming, nonetheless. I imply, in addition to what we already find out about.) Keep protected on the market!
BioBot wastewater knowledge from March 20:
Lambert: Be aware that if we take a look at “the world beneath the curve,” extra folks have died after Biden declared that “Covid is over” than earlier than.
For now, I’m going to make use of this nationwide wastewater knowledge as the perfect proxy for case knowledge (ignoring the scientific case knowledge portion of this chart, which in my opinion “goes unhealthy” after March 2022, for causes as but unexplained). A minimum of we are able to spot traits, and examine present ranges to equal previous ranges.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, from March 11:
NOTE “Charts and knowledge supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the complete pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Anyhow, I added a gray “Fauci line” simply to point out that Covid wasn’t “over” after they began saying it was, and it’s not over now.
From the Walgreen’s take a look at positivity tracker, printed March 21:
-1.9%. Nonetheless excessive, however finally a definite downturn.
Dying fee (Our World in Knowledge):
Whole: 1,151,778 – 1,151,642 = 136 (136 * 365 = 49,640 deaths per yr, at the moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would really like, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may need to resolve that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this specific tranche of dying and illness).
NOT UPDATED (however updating). Extra deaths (The Economist), printed March 7:
Lambert right here: Primarily based on a machine-learning mannequin. Once more, we see a excessive plateau. I”m unsure how typically this updates, and if it doesn’t, I’ll take away it. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran eternally with a large typo within the Legend, I figured no one was actually it, so I bought rid it.
There aren’t any official statistics of curiosity at the moment.
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The Financial institution Was Outdated And Susceptible And Would Have Died Quickly Anyway pic.twitter.com/gkgvq3xpFm
— @TheVertlartnic (@TheVertlartnic) March 21, 2023
This account continues to be up. That makes me completely happy.
The inventory market hasn’t gone down throughout this banking disaster. If monetary circumstances have tightened so dramatically and we’re heading right into a recession, why aren’t shares signaling that?
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) March 21, 2023
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As we speak’s Concern & Greed Index: 37 Concern (earlier shut: 29 Excessive Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 19 (Excessive Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Mar 21 at 1:36 PM ET.
“A24 Acquires Speaking Heads 1984 Live performance Movie ‘Cease Making Sense’, Will Restore In 4K For Theatrical Launch” [Deadline]. “Cease Making Sense stars core band members Byrne, Tina Weymouth, Chris Frantz and Jerry Harrison together with P-Funk Bernie Worrell, Alex Weir, Steve Scales, Lynn Mabry and Edna Holt. The reside efficiency was shot over three nights at Hollywood’s Pantages Theatre in December 1983 and options such memorable Speaking Heads songs as ‘Burning Down the Home,’ ‘Life Throughout Wartime,’ ‘Take Me to the River,’ ‘Psycho Killer’ and ‘As soon as in a Lifetime.’ The band, whose model was a mix of art-punk-funk rock, was propelled by legendary producer Brian Eno.” • Nice band, nice live performance, nice film, and particularly nice on the massive display:
Some good calls within the lyrics. “Anyone have any questions?”
“…Burn Folks Tomorrow” [Mister Slang]. “It is a (considerably broadbrush) taxonomy of slang’s main obsessions in response to my very own researches (the numbers point out related headwords, all counts progressively improve with further analysis): Crime and Criminals 5012; Drink, Drinks, Ingesting and Drunks 4589; Medication 3976; Cash 3342; Girls (virtually invariably thought of negatively or at greatest sexually) 2968; Fools and Silly 2403; Males (of assorted descriptions, not invariably, however typically self-aggrandizing) 2183; Business Intercourse & Sellers 2007; Sexual Intercourse 1818; Phrases of Racial or Nationwide abuse (together with ‘white’): 1783; Homosexuals (female and male)/-ity 1700; Penis: 1441; Policeman / Policing 1246; Vagina 1180; Beat or Hit 1079; Styles of Vocalizing 958; Masturbate/-ion 945; Mad 926; Die, Dying, Lifeless 831; Anus or Buttocks 728; Defecate/-ion & Urinate/-ion 557; Kill or Homicide 521; Promiscuous / Promiscuity 448; Unattractive 392; Oral Intercourse 334; Fats 282; Anal Intercourse 267; STDs 255; Swearing and Oaths 253; Vomiting 227. As I’ve steered on many events: humanity at its most human. The lexis of the unfettered id reasonably than the self-restrained superego.” • I’m unsure this submit actually has a thesis, but when that is the useful resource you want, right here it’s.
“New Knowledge Reveals FTC Obtained 2.8 Million Fraud Studies from Shoppers in 2021” [FTC (LawnDart)]. “Reported fraud losses improve greater than 70 p.c over 2020 to greater than $5.8 billion. The FTC acquired fraud stories from greater than 2.8 million shoppers final yr, with probably the most generally reported class as soon as once more being imposter scams, adopted by on-line purchasing scams.” • Imposters! How Wodehousian (although, truly, not). Little doubt the breakdown provides the rise within the variety of folks defrauded, reasonably than the entire greenback quantity, which I’d assume is a greater indicator of a decline in social cohesion.
“‘Probably the most chilling metric of all’: Mike Rowe warns that 7 million American males are ‘carried out’ on the lookout for work and have ‘punched out’ — why that’s a significant issue” [MoneyWise]. “Whereas the U.S. labor market stays extremely tight — with the financial system including one other 517,000 jobs in December — round 7 million “prime age” males between the ages of 25 and 54 are reportedly sitting it out…. ‘They’re affirmatively not on the lookout for work. They’ve punched out. They’re carried out,’ TV host Mike Rowe mentioned on The Brian Kilmeade Present, citing analysis from economist Nick Eberstadt… ‘The U.S. labor scarcity will in all probability need to be solved by some mixture of immigration, automation and recession,’ writes Eberstadt in an op-ed for The Washington Submit, however provides that is ‘removed from prone to cut back standard angst and discontent.’ ‘So what’s actually taking place within the nation now that scares me proper to my core basically is that we’ve by no means had a lot unrealized alternative and so little enthusiasm for it.’” • What on earth does “unrealized alternative” imply? And is there such a factor as a “realized unopportunity”? That appears extra probably. Commentary:
In fact the true resolution to labor market dysfunction is to empower employees & take discretion over hiring & manufacturing away from the boss, because the occasions of the final weeks present they’re incapable of working successfully.
— Marshall Steinbaum 🔥 (@Econ_Marshall) March 20, 2023
Holy moley, take a look at the whiteboard:
Nursing properties represented as much as 80% of complete state COVID deaths in 2020. But, many nursing properties not solely have unacceptably low booster and remedy protection to climate COVID but additionally should not the main focus of future pandemic planning conversations. 3/https://t.co/dIDnhS24J3
— Anne Sosin (@asosin) March 20, 2023
Information of the Wired
“DPReview.com to shut” [DPPreview]. A remark: “Amazon will carry an enormous black mark for this so long as all of us reside. DPReview is arms down a very powerful reference web site for photographic product info on the planet and it’s onerous to think about how it may be changed by the efforts scattered throughout many different websites. Certainly it’s paying homage to what it will be prefer to lose Wikipedia. Insupportable company malfeasance. Data vandalism!” • It’s.
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Contact info for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are advantageous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at first of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From AM:
AM writes: “A wintry scene in Somesville, on Mount Desert Island, ME, with frosted white pines and spruce timber within the morning.”
That is Re Silc’s driveway:
Winter’s not over, people!
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Right here is the display that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
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