Asian markets are a lot calmer at the moment after one other wild and risky week, however financial institution angst and recession threat proceed to linger. JPY is underperforming friends to start out the week. US Shares eked out positive factors on Friday, the USD recovered & Treasury yields fell throughout the curve, with all buying and selling beneath 4%. Deutsche & Commerzbank misplaced -8.53% and -5.54% respectively. European and US FUTS are at present larger. First Residents Financial institution will purchase SVB from the FDIC, the Head of the IMF warns that world monetary stability is in danger from banking turmoil, and the top of the Saudi Arabian nationwide financial institution is compelled to resign after sparking the run on Credit score Suisse.
Week Forward: US GDP on Wednesday and the CORE PCE Worth Index on Friday high the information releases and the week, month and quarter.
FX – USDIndex rallied from 102.00 on Friday to check 103.00 and holds at 102.80 now. EUR slipped to 1.0750 and continues to rotate spherical this stage. JPY dipped beneath 129.50 on Friday earlier than recovering to 131.25 now. Sterling examined right down to 1.2200 on Friday and holds at 1.2225 now. UK OBR mentioned that UK financial system is 4% smaller because of Brexit completely.
Shares – US markets moved larger (+0.31% to +0.41%) Main movers have been elsewhere: DB.de -8.53%, CBK.de -5.54%. Tech giants lifted US markets. US500 +0.56% (+22.27) to 3970, US500 FUTS larger too 4021 now.
Commodities – USOil – Futures examined the $67.00 stage once more on Friday earlier than recovering to $70.00. Gold – couldn’t maintain the important thing psychological $2000 stage on Friday and trades at $1970 now.
Cryptocurrencies – BTC holds at $28k after struggling to maneuver away from this stage final week.
At the moment – German Ifo, Speeches from Fed’s Jefferson, BoE’s Bailey, ECB’s Schnabel & Elderson.
Greatest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) CADJPY (+0.55%). Continued the rally at the moment from Friday’s low check of 94.00 again to 95.50 now. MAs aligned larger, MACD histogram & sign line optimistic & rising, RSI 65 & rising, H1 ATR 0.198, Every day ATR 1.600.
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Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
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